Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.003945 0.004148 0.004356 0.004586 0.004833 0.005091 0.005380
2025-08-03 0.003570 0.003868 0.004186 0.004553 0.004965 0.005417 0.005951
2025-08-10 0.003328 0.003678 0.004061 0.004517 0.005046 0.005645 0.006379
2025-08-17 0.003210 0.003606 0.004051 0.004592 0.005238 0.005991 0.006946
2025-08-24 0.003065 0.003488 0.003973 0.004575 0.005310 0.006190 0.007337
2025-08-31 0.002933 0.003376 0.003892 0.004544 0.005356 0.006350 0.007679
2025-09-07 0.002803 0.003258 0.003795 0.004485 0.005359 0.006450 0.007943
2025-09-14 0.002685 0.003148 0.003702 0.004422 0.005351 0.006530 0.008179
2025-09-21 0.002612 0.003089 0.003666 0.004428 0.005427 0.006719 0.008567
2025-09-28 0.002479 0.002950 0.003525 0.004293 0.005310 0.006645 0.008585
2025-10-05 0.002416 0.002897 0.003489 0.004289 0.005365 0.006801 0.008931
2025-10-12 0.002390 0.002888 0.003509 0.004358 0.005519 0.007097 0.009489
2025-10-19 0.002318 0.002819 0.003449 0.004320 0.005526 0.007190 0.009761
2025-10-26 0.002255 0.002758 0.003398 0.004292 0.005545 0.007299 0.010062
2025-11-02 0.002193 0.002698 0.003345 0.004259 0.005554 0.007393 0.010343
2025-11-09 0.002175 0.002695 0.003367 0.004328 0.005710 0.007708 0.010985
2025-11-16 0.002127 0.002649 0.003330 0.004312 0.005742 0.007839 0.011341
2025-11-23 0.002076 0.002598 0.003285 0.004283 0.005753 0.007936 0.011645
2025-11-30 0.002018 0.002537 0.003223 0.004229 0.005723 0.007968 0.011840
2025-12-07 0.001963 0.002477 0.003161 0.004171 0.005685 0.007985 0.012010
2025-12-14 0.001932 0.002450 0.003144 0.004177 0.005743 0.008154 0.012451
2025-12-21 0.001857 0.002361 0.003039 0.004052 0.005595 0.007988 0.012292
2025-12-28 0.001827 0.002333 0.003017 0.004048 0.005635 0.008127 0.012686